Barry Town 2-1 Cardiff MU — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.2pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.24/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.36
-15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Cardiff MU
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 1-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
30.12.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
06.10.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
15.03.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
25.01.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barry Town
2-1
AWAY Cardiff MU
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Cardiff MU
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town edged past Cardiff MU 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Barry Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Barry Town had 35% of the ball to Cardiff MU's 65%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Barry Town and 1.00 for Cardiff MU.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Cardiff MU?

Barry Town 2-1 Cardiff MU in the Wales - Premier League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Cardiff MU?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 34%, draw 32%, Cardiff MU 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →