Cardiff MU 1-1 Barry Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 29% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barry Town EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.27/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.33
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Barry Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Barry Town Barry Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
06.10.2023 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
05.04.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
15.03.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-1 HT 1-1 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
25.01.2022 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-0 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GAL
27.11.2021 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 3-2 HT 2-1 Barry Town Barry Town GALLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
1-1
AWAY Barry Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs Barry Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU and Barry Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cardiff MU at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cardiff MU had 53% of the ball to Barry Town's 47%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cardiff MU and 0.83 for Barry Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs Barry Town?

Cardiff MU 1-1 Barry Town in the Wales - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs Barry Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 42%, draw 27%, Barry Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cardiff MU), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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