Penybont 0-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 16 Aug 2024

Penybont
0-0 HT 0-0
Newtown
📅16/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Penybont vs Newtown Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
18%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 32% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Penybont v Newtown — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.71/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.32
-1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Penybont vs Newtown Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Newtown
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2024 Newtown Newtown 0-5 HT 0-3 Penybont Penybont GAL
19.11.2023 Penybont Penybont 1-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
12.08.2023 Newtown Newtown 1-3 HT 0-2 Penybont Penybont GAL
22.04.2023 Penybont Penybont 2-1 HT 0-1 Newtown Newtown GAL
18.03.2023 Newtown Newtown 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
28.01.2023 Penybont Penybont 3-0 HT 3-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont and Newtown fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Penybont at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Penybont and 0.50 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Newtown?

Penybont 0-0 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Penybont 50%, draw 26%, Newtown 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Penybont) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Penybont) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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