Aberystwyth Town vs Connahs Quay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberystwyth Town v Connahs Quay — Team-Based Signals
Aberystwyth Town vs Connahs Quay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
4-0
HT 4-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
3-0
HT 1-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
2-1
HT 0-0
Connahs Quay
GAL
1-1
HT 0-1
Connahs Quay
GAL
1-0
HT 0-0
Aberystwyth Town
GAL
Aberystwyth Town and Connahs Quay couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Connahs Quay at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aberystwyth Town and 1.83 for Connahs Quay.
What was the final score of Aberystwyth Town vs Connahs Quay?
Aberystwyth Town 1-1 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberystwyth Town vs Connahs Quay?
Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aberystwyth Town 25%, draw 24%, Connahs Quay 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Connahs Quay), BTTS No went the other way.