16/08/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
0-1
Bala Town vs Briton Ferry Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.11
— our 28% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
75%
23%
Draw
16%
20%
Away Win
9%
50%
Under 2.5
38%
50%
Over 2.5
62%
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
59%
BTTS No
55%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bala Town v Briton Ferry — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bala Town
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Briton Ferry
EU Bookmakers 11%
-8% /
-12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-16%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
443 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
230 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
–
Bala Town vs Briton Ferry Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bala Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Briton Ferry
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
04.02.2023
Bala Town
2-0
HT 0-0
Briton Ferry
GALWK
2-0
HT 0-0
Briton Ferry
GALWK
POST-MATCH
Bala Town vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bala Town beat Briton Ferry 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bala Town as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Bala Town vs Briton Ferry?
Bala Town 2-0 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 16/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Briton Ferry?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 57%, draw 23%, Briton Ferry 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bala Town), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Bala Town)
✓ BTTS No
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More Wales - Premier League
16 Aug 2024