Portimonense U23 3-0 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 55%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
1.52/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
+18% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -100%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Estoril U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 16
0 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
3-0
AWAY Estoril U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 cruised past Estoril U23 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 45% of the ball to Estoril U23's 55%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Portimonense U23 3-0 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 25%, draw 23%, Estoril U23 52%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Estoril U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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