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Barcelona (K) vs SL Benfica (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona (K) v SL Benfica (K) — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona (K) vs SL Benfica (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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5-0
HT 3-0
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SL Benfica (K)
ŞMP-K
2-6
HT 0-2
Barcelona (K)
ŞMP-K
Barcelona (K) 3-1 SL Benfica (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona (K) got the better of SL Benfica (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Barcelona (K) had 73% of the ball to SL Benfica (K)'s 27%, shots finished 40-7, expected goals 5.02 to 1.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 5.00 goals for Barcelona (K) and 2.00 for SL Benfica (K).
What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?
Barcelona (K) 3-1 SL Benfica (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 78%, draw 11%, SL Benfica (K) 11%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.