SL Benfica (K) 4-4 Barcelona (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 31 Jan 2024

SL Benfica (K)
4-4 HT 2-2
Barcelona (K)
📅31/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
Champions League - Women's – 2025/2026

SL Benfica (K) vs Barcelona (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
12.23
Draw
18%
8.11
Away Pick
66%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
3.17
Over
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
42%
4-5
23%
6+
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
42%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Barcelona (K) win — 66% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
5%
+10.6pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.0pp
66%
Away Win
86%
-19.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SL Benfica (K) v Barcelona (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.34/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.57/0.58
+150% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
191 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 507 · 85%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 51.7
6.0 Crosses 26.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

SL Benfica (K) vs Barcelona (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SL Benfica (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
0.14 xG 3.14
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
275 Passes 575
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
5 Box Touches 47
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.11.2023 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 SL Benfica (K) SL Benfica (K) ŞMP-K
15.12.2022 SL Benfica (K) SL Benfica (K) 2-6 HT 0-2 Barcelona (K) Barcelona (K) ŞMP-K

SL Benfica (K) 4-4 Barcelona (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SL Benfica (K)
4-4
AWAY Barcelona (K)
1.18 xG 3.32
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 16
3 Corners 13
153 Passes 466
63% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 56
8 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SL Benfica (K) vs Barcelona (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SL Benfica (K) and Barcelona (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Barcelona (K) at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, SL Benfica (K) had 30% of the ball to Barcelona (K)'s 70%, shots finished 10-27, expected goals 1.18 to 3.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SL Benfica (K) and 5.50 for Barcelona (K).

What was the final score of SL Benfica (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

SL Benfica (K) 4-4 Barcelona (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SL Benfica (K) vs Barcelona (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split SL Benfica (K) 16%, draw 18%, Barcelona (K) 66%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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