Lyon (K) 2-2 Slavia Praha (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 31 Jan 2024

📅31/01/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.78
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
Over
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
33%
4-5
30%
6+
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
7%
1/X
2%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Lyon (K) win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
85%
-18.0pp
13%
Draw
8%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
6%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Praha (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.86/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.07
-15% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +128%
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
548 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 76%
44.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
29.5 Crosses 10.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Slavia Praha (K)
9.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
5.18 xG 0.22
71% Ball Possession 29%
28 Total Shots 6
15 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
580 Passes 193
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
67 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.11.2023 Slavia Praha (K) Slavia Praha (K) 0-9 HT 0-6 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
2-2
AWAY Slavia Praha (K)
4.61 xG 0.19
75% Ball Possession 25%
34 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
590 Passes 130
86% Pass Accuracy 56%
66 Box Touches 3
41 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs Slavia Praha (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) and Slavia Praha (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Lyon (K) carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 75% of the ball to Slavia Praha (K)'s 25%, shots finished 34-2, expected goals 4.61 to 0.19.

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs Slavia Praha (K)?

Lyon (K) 2-2 Slavia Praha (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 31/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs Slavia Praha (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 67%, draw 13%, Slavia Praha (K) 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyon (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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