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Manchester United (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Manchester United (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals
Manchester United (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon (K) ran out comfortable winners over Manchester United (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Manchester United (K) had 36% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 64%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.44 to 1.32.
What was the final score of Manchester United (K) vs Lyon (K)?
Manchester United (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Manchester United (K) vs Lyon (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Manchester United (K) 20%, draw 21%, Lyon (K) 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.