Buhimba United Saints 2-2 UPDF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 10 Dec 2025

Buhimba United Saints
2-2 HT 1-1
UPDF
📅10/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Buhimba United Saints vs UPDF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
47%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.4pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+6.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buhimba United Saints v UPDF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buhimba United Saints The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY UPDF The Market 45%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.68
-100% / -63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +140% / +32%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Buhimba United Saints 2-2 UPDF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buhimba United Saints
2-2
AWAY UPDF
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buhimba United Saints vs UPDF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buhimba United Saints and UPDF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was UPDF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Buhimba United Saints had 47% of the ball to UPDF's 53%, shots finished 16-22.

What was the final score of Buhimba United Saints vs UPDF?

Buhimba United Saints 2-2 UPDF in the Uganda - Premier League on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buhimba United Saints vs UPDF?

Before kick-off our model rated an UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Buhimba United Saints 32%, draw 21%, UPDF 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UPDF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UPDF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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