CD Tapatio 0-2 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Tapatio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.24/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.31
-17% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Tapatio
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Venados
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
9 Corners 5
30.08.2023 Venados Venados 2-1 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
23.03.2023 Venados Venados 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
30.09.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
21.01.2022 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-0 HT 0-0 Venados Venados MEK2
18.11.2021 Venados Venados 3-0 HT 1-0 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio MEK2
09.04.2021 CD Tapatio CD Tapatio 1-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH CD Tapatio vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venados saw off CD Tapatio 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CD Tapatio at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for CD Tapatio and 1.00 for Venados.

What was the final score of CD Tapatio vs Venados?

CD Tapatio 0-2 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Tapatio vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Tapatio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CD Tapatio 44%, draw 25%, Venados 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CD Tapatio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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