Tlaxcala 1-0 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 11 Jan 2024

Tlaxcala
1-0 HT 0-0
Cancun FC
📅11/01/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+6.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.9pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tlaxcala v Cancun FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 54%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.02/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
219 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
The Meetings
07.09.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
09.03.2023 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
20.07.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
07.04.2022 Cancun FC Cancun FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
03.11.2021 Tlaxcala 3-1 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
01.04.2021 Tlaxcala 1-0 HT 1-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tlaxcala nicked a narrow win over Cancun FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cancun FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tlaxcala and 0.67 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC?

Tlaxcala 1-0 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cancun FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 31%, draw 22%, Cancun FC 48%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cancun FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cancun FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
11 Jan 2024
06:05 CD Tapatio vs Venados Analysis →