Santa Clara 1-1 Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 11 Jan 2024

Santa Clara
1-1 HT 0-0
Nacional
📅11/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Cup – 2023/2024

Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.28
6+ Goals
12%
22.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santa Clara v Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.0

Santa Clara vs Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nacional
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.09 xG 1.27
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
234 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Nacional Nacional 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR2
11.04.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 5-1 HT 2-0 Nacional Nacional POR
06.12.2020 Nacional Nacional 1-3 HT 1-2 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
24.02.2019 Santa Clara Santa Clara 2-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Nacional POR
30.09.2018 Nacional Nacional 0-3 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
19.04.2003 Nacional Nacional 2-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Santa Clara 1-1 Nacional — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara
1-1
AWAY Nacional
45% Ball Possession 55%
30 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Santa Clara vs Nacional
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Santa Clara and Nacional shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Portugal - Cup on 11 Jan 2024. Half-time: 0-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Santa Clara had 45% of the ball to Nacional's 55%, shots finished 30-10.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Clara have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Santa Clara and 0.83 for Nacional.

What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Santa Clara 1-1 Nacional in the Portugal - Cup on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 45%, draw 25%, Nacional 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Santa Clara), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Clara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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