Como (K) 2-0 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
42%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
42%
Away Win
58%
-15.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.47/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.08
-100% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +39%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
5.0 Crosses 21.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 1.24
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 342
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-1 HT 3-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
14.02.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
18.11.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 3-0 HT 0-0 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como (K)
2-0
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.76 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
256 Passes 334
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 48
8 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) beat Fiorentina (K) 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Como (K) had 44% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 56%, shots finished 16-22, expected goals 0.76 to 1.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fiorentina (K).

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Como (K) and 2.33 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Como (K) 2-0 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Como (K) 29%, draw 29%, Fiorentina (K) 42%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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