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Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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2-1
HT 2-0
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Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
2-1
HT 2-1
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
1-3
HT 1-2
Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) saw off Newcastle Jets (K) 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne Victory (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 46% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 54%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.36.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 1.75 for Melbourne Victory (K).
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?
Newcastle Jets (K) 0-2 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 31%, draw 21%, Melbourne Victory (K) 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.