Melbourne City (K) 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.18
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
4%
X/2
15%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
42%
-12.6pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.6pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.3pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
3.61/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.91/1.55
+110% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 78%
37.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
11.0 Crosses 18.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.94 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
367 Passes 283
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
11.01.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
11.02.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
21.01.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
17.12.2017 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
2-0
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.59 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
255 Passes 277
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) got the better of Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Melbourne City (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 47% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 53%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.59 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Melbourne City (K) and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 2-0 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 29%, draw 32%, Brisbane Roar (K) 39%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
11 Jan 2025
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