Mostaganem 2-1 JSM Tiaret — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
57%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
16%
Away Win
17%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY JSM Tiaret EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostaganem
1W-0D-0L
AWAY JSM Tiaret
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2024 Mostaganem Mostaganem 5-0 HT 3-0 JSM Tiaret JSM Tiaret CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostaganem
2-1
AWAY JSM Tiaret
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem edged past JSM Tiaret 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mostaganem as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mostaganem had 66% of the ball to JSM Tiaret's 34%, shots finished 26-4.

What was the final score of Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret?

Mostaganem 2-1 JSM Tiaret in the Algeria - National Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostaganem vs JSM Tiaret?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mostaganem 60%, draw 24%, JSM Tiaret 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostaganem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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