US Chaouia 2-1 El Kerma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - National Cup, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
32%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-6.6pp
32%
Away Win
17%
+15.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Chaouia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY El Kerma EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+42% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Chaouia
2-1
AWAY El Kerma
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH US Chaouia vs El Kerma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Chaouia squeezed past El Kerma 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had US Chaouia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Chaouia had 55% of the ball to El Kerma's 45%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of US Chaouia vs El Kerma?

US Chaouia 2-1 El Kerma in the Algeria - National Cup on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Chaouia vs El Kerma?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Chaouia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split US Chaouia 45%, draw 23%, El Kerma 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Chaouia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (US Chaouia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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