JDR Stars 3-3 Baroka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.54
Over 2.5
30%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
61%
+9.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
39%
-9.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.5pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JDR Stars EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Baroka EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.28/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.97
+3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
457 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JDR Stars
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Baroka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
12 Corners 3
12.05.2024 Baroka Baroka 1-1 HT 0-1 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
16.09.2023 JDR Stars JDR Stars 1-0 HT 1-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
18.03.2023 Baroka Baroka 0-1 HT 0-1 JDR Stars JDR Stars GAF1
17.01.2023 JDR Stars JDR Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 Baroka Baroka GAF1
POST-MATCH JDR Stars vs Baroka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JDR Stars and Baroka shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, JDR Stars had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for JDR Stars and 0.25 for Baroka.

What was the final score of JDR Stars vs Baroka?

JDR Stars 3-3 Baroka in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JDR Stars vs Baroka?

Before kick-off our model rated a JDR Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split JDR Stars 38%, draw 30%, Baroka 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (JDR Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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