Southern District RSA 1-1 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
48%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.4pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.8pp
48%
Away Win
60%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 64%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -20%
0.41/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.20
-67% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -30%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
247 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southern District RSA
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Kitchee
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
18.05.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-3 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
24.11.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
15.04.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-5 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
15.10.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 7-0 HT 4-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
28.11.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 2-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southern District RSA
1-1
AWAY Kitchee
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southern District RSA vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA and Kitchee shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kitchee at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Southern District RSA had 36% of the ball to Kitchee's 64%, shots finished 7-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Southern District RSA and 3.00 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Southern District RSA vs Kitchee?

Southern District RSA 1-1 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southern District RSA vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Southern District RSA 23%, draw 29%, Kitchee 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitchee) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
11 Jan 2025
10:00 Wofoo Tai Po vs Lee Man Analysis →