Kitchee 1-1 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-4.7pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.30/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.00
+21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
417 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Southern District RSA
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-3 HT 0-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
24.11.2023 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
15.04.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-5 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
15.10.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 7-0 HT 4-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
28.11.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 2-1 HT 0-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONFK
10.05.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 4-1 HT 3-1 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
1-1
AWAY Southern District RSA
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee and Southern District RSA shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kitchee at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Kitchee had 63% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 37%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Kitchee and 0.33 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Southern District RSA?

Kitchee 1-1 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 59%, draw 23%, Southern District RSA 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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