Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
30%
+11.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
36%
Away Win
46%
-10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wofoo Tai Po EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.97/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.38
-8% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +148%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
226 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wofoo Tai Po
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Lee Man
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 0-0 HT 0-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
10.12.2023 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 2-3 HT 1-3 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
25.02.2023 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po 0-3 HT 0-3 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
15.01.2023 Lee Man Lee Man 2-0 HT 0-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
01.12.2019 Lee Man Lee Man 4-1 HT 2-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wofoo Tai Po
2-1
AWAY Lee Man
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wofoo Tai Po vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wofoo Tai Po squeezed past Lee Man 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Wofoo Tai Po made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wofoo Tai Po had 38% of the ball to Lee Man's 62%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Wofoo Tai Po and 2.40 for Lee Man.

What was the final score of Wofoo Tai Po vs Lee Man?

Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wofoo Tai Po vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wofoo Tai Po win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wofoo Tai Po 41%, draw 23%, Lee Man 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
14 Sep 2024
13:30 Kitchee vs Southern District RSA Analysis →