Iğdır FK 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 11 Jan 2025

Iğdır FK
0-1 HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.31
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.25
X/1
10%
5.03
X/2
9%
6.21
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.45
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.0pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Iğdır FK v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +13%
1.06/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.27
-50% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
15.1 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Iğdır FK 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
0-1
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.54 xG 0.85
71% Ball Possession 29%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
496 Passes 142
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
17 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fatih Karagümrük edged past Iğdır FK 1-0 away from home in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11 Jan 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 41% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 71% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 29%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.54 to 0.85.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Iğdır FK 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 40%, draw 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Iğdır FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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