Almeria II vs Xerez Prediction — Model Probabilities
Almeria II v Xerez — Team-Based Signals
Almeria II vs Xerez Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Almeria II 1-2 Xerez — Actual Match Statistics
Xerez nicked a narrow win over Almeria II 2-1 on the road. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Almeria II had 33% of the ball to Xerez's 67%, shots finished 4-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Almeria II and 0.33 for Xerez.
Almeria II vs Xerez Result & Final Score
Almeria II 1 - 2 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Almeria II vs Xerez Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 24%, draw 33%, Xerez 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.