Almeria II 1-0 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.54
Over
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
46%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+6.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria II The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez The Market 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria II
1-0
AWAY Xerez
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Almeria II vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria II squeezed past Xerez 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Xerez at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Almeria II had 45% of the ball to Xerez's 55%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Almeria II vs Xerez?

Almeria II 1-0 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated an Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 31%, draw 28%, Xerez 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xerez) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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