Barbastro 2-1 Teruel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.7
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.44
No
65%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.2pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
37%
-1.4pp
65%
BTTS No
63%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Teruel EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
0.82/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.95
-27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
2-1
AWAY Teruel
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Teruel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barbastro edged past Teruel 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Barbastro made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barbastro had 42% of the ball to Teruel's 58%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Teruel?

Barbastro 2-1 Teruel in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Teruel?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 33%, draw 34%, Teruel 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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