Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Linares Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xerez Deportivo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.08/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xerez Deportivo
1-1
AWAY Linares Deportivo
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Xerez Deportivo vs Linares Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xerez Deportivo and Linares Deportivo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Xerez Deportivo had 57% of the ball to Linares Deportivo's 43%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Xerez Deportivo vs Linares Deportivo?

Xerez Deportivo 1-1 Linares Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xerez Deportivo vs Linares Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez Deportivo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Xerez Deportivo 37%, draw 28%, Linares Deportivo 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Xerez Deportivo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xerez Deportivo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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