Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 Bergantinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Bergantinos EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
0.90/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.25
-29% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bergantinos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-0 HT 1-0 Bergantinos Bergantinos İS4
04.09.2022 Bergantinos Bergantinos 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimnastica Torrelavega Gimnastica Torrelavega İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastica Torrelavega
1-3
AWAY Bergantinos
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Bergantinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bergantinos saw off Gimnastica Torrelavega 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gimnastica Torrelavega at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastica Torrelavega had 56% of the ball to Bergantinos's 44%, shots finished 11-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gimnastica Torrelavega had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimnastica Torrelavega and 0.50 for Bergantinos.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Bergantinos?

Gimnastica Torrelavega 1-3 Bergantinos in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Torrelavega vs Bergantinos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Torrelavega win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Torrelavega 44%, draw 26%, Bergantinos 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gimnastica Torrelavega) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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