Don Benito 0-1 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Don Benito EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +23%
1.40/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.82
+10% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +47%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Don Benito
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Granada II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
23.02.2020 Granada II Granada II 1-0 HT 0-0 Don Benito Don Benito İS3
06.10.2019 Don Benito Don Benito 3-0 HT 1-0 Granada II Granada II İS3
POST-MATCH Don Benito vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Granada II squeezed past Don Benito 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Granada II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Don Benito and 0.50 for Granada II.

What was the final score of Don Benito vs Granada II?

Don Benito 0-1 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Don Benito vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Don Benito win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Don Benito 39%, draw 27%, Granada II 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Don Benito) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Don Benito) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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