Alfaro 1-4 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

Alfaro
1-4
SD Logrones
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Alfaro vs SD Logrones Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.8pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alfaro v SD Logrones — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alfaro EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 51%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.75/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.01
+80% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Alfaro vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones cruised past Alfaro 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; SD Logrones found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Alfaro vs SD Logrones?

Alfaro 1-4 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alfaro vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated an SD Logrones win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alfaro 31%, draw 30%, SD Logrones 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SD Logrones) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SD Logrones) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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