Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Utebo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Utebo EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.94/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.26
-27% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Utebo
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2024 Utebo Utebo 2-2 HT 1-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
05.11.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
02.04.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 HT 0-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
20.11.2022 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Alaves II
1-1
AWAY Utebo
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Deportivo Alaves II vs Utebo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II and Utebo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Alaves II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Alaves II had 44% of the ball to Utebo's 56%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Utebo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Deportivo Alaves II and 1.25 for Utebo.

What was the final score of Deportivo Alaves II vs Utebo?

Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 Utebo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Alaves II vs Utebo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Alaves II 43%, draw 27%, Utebo 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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