Utebo 2-2 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.44
Over 2.5
42%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
66%
-7.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
34%
+7.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.73/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.01
-32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
234 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 0-1 HT 0-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
02.04.2023 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II 1-1 HT 0-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
20.11.2022 Utebo Utebo 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Alaves II Deportivo Alaves II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-2
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo and Deportivo Alaves II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utebo had 42% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves II's 58%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Utebo and 0.33 for Deportivo Alaves II.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Utebo 2-2 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Alaves II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Utebo 33%, draw 30%, Deportivo Alaves II 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Alaves II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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