Arandina 0-1 Guijuelo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.6pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arandina EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 36%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.75/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.94
-30% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arandina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Guijuelo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.11.2023 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-0 HT 1-0 Arandina Arandina İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arandina
0-1
AWAY Guijuelo
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arandina vs Guijuelo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guijuelo squeezed past Arandina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 31% — and on the day Guijuelo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Arandina had 45% of the ball to Guijuelo's 55%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Arandina vs Guijuelo?

Arandina 0-1 Guijuelo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arandina vs Guijuelo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arandina win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arandina 37%, draw 32%, Guijuelo 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arandina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arandina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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