UD Alzira 1-0 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.29/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.43
+3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Alzira
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Talavera CF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 2-2 HT 1-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
POST-MATCH UD Alzira vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UD Alzira nicked a narrow win over Talavera CF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had UD Alzira as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of UD Alzira vs Talavera CF?

UD Alzira 1-0 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Alzira vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Alzira win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split UD Alzira 44%, draw 27%, Talavera CF 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UD Alzira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UD Alzira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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