Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.48
Over 2.5
46%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.4pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.34/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.65
+36% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-3 HT 0-1 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
16.01.2021 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-1 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
18.10.2020 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-1 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
22.02.2020 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-1 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS3
05.10.2019 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 1-2 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
2-1
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II edged past Arenas de Getxo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 67% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 33%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Athletic Bilbao II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Athletic Bilbao II and 0.80 for Arenas de Getxo.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Arenas de Getxo?

Athletic Bilbao II 2-1 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 57%, draw 26%, Arenas de Getxo 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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