Padova Calcio 2-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 11 Jan 2026

Padova Calcio
2 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Modena
📅11/01/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Padova Calcio vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
51%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.64
Over
44%
2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.58
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
19%
4.4
6+
4%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.81
1/2
3%
29.0
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
8%
8.18
X/2
19%
4.48
X/X
18%
4.08
2/1
1%
35.0
2/2
30%
2.68
2/X
5%
13.75
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Padova Calcio v Modena — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Padova Calcio The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena The Market 52%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
0.93 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.71
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
Weak Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
16 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32
16 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3

Padova Calcio vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Modena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.04.2021 Modena Modena 3-0 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
23.12.2020 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTC
19.01.2020 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTC
09.09.2019 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
08.03.2014 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 0-2 Modena Modena İTB
28.09.2013 Modena Modena 3-1 HT 2-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTB

Padova Calcio 2-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
2 - 0
AWAY Modena
1.07 xG 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 32
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 12
200 Passes 417
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 49
8 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Padova Calcio vs Modena
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Padova Calcio saw off Modena 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We leaned Modena at 51% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Padova Calcio had 36% of the ball to Modena's 64%, shots finished 8-32, expected goals 1.07 to 2.00 — by the quality of chances, Modena deserved more.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Modena led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Padova Calcio and 1.67 for Modena.

Padova Calcio vs Modena Result & Final Score

Padova Calcio 2 - 0 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Padova Calcio vs Modena Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 21%, draw 28%, Modena 51%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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