Mantova 1-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 11 Jan 2026

Mantova
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Palermo
📅11/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Mantova vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.72
No
45%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.32
2-3
46%
1.79
4-5
23%
3.45
6+
6%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.96
1/2 ✗
4%
24.45
1/X
5%
14.15
X/1
10%
7.94
X/2
17%
4.71
X/X
16%
4.8
2/1
2%
35.0
2/2
29%
2.64
2/X
5%
13.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.45 — our 4% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Mantova v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mantova The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo The Market 52%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.67
1.99 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
Average Attack Strength Average
Bad Defense Strength Great
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Mantova vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 236
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
30.10.2024 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Mantova 1-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
1 - 1
AWAY Palermo
0.29 xG 2.04
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
470 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
11 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mantova vs Palermo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mantova and Palermo traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 50% lean on Palermo didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Mantova had 64% of the ball to Palermo's 36%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.29 to 2.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mantova and 1.00 for Palermo.

Mantova vs Palermo Result & Final Score

Mantova 1 - 1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mantova vs Palermo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mantova 24%, draw 26%, Palermo 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palermo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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