Palermo 2-2 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Feb 2025

Palermo
2-2 HT 1-0
Mantova
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Palermo vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.39
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.3
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.3 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.42
X/2
12%
11.6
X/X
12%
4.79
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.7
2/2
8%
9.46
2/X
6%
15.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Palermo v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.56/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.65
-25% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 75%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
26.6 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Palermo vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mantova
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.94 xG 0.26
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
223 Passes 515
80% Pass Accuracy 88%
27 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.10.2024 Mantova Mantova 0-0 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Palermo 2-2 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
2-2
AWAY Mantova
1.79 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 9
249 Passes 272
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Mantova couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Palermo had 50% of the ball to Mantova's 50%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.79 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Mantova?

Palermo 2-2 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Palermo 48%, draw 26%, Mantova 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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