Frosinone 1-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.77
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.79
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.72
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
13%
5.07
X/2
13%
6.12
X/X
13%
3.31
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
9%
4.95
2/X
7%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.0pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-9.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+9.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frosinone EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.53/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.03
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
22.5 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Frosinone
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
331 Passes 300
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Reggiana Reggiana 2-0 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.04.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
15.12.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Frosinone
1-1
AWAY Reggiana
0.78 xG 0.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
388 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Frosinone vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frosinone and Reggiana shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Frosinone at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Frosinone had 57% of the ball to Reggiana's 43%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Frosinone and 1.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Frosinone vs Reggiana?

Frosinone 1-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 44%, draw 26%, Reggiana 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Frosinone), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Frosinone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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