Cesena 1-1 Pisa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 16 Feb 2025

Cesena
1-1 HT 0-1
Pisa
📅16/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.97
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.3
X/1
13%
6.34
X/2
15%
5.21
X/X
14%
3.5
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.58
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Pisa EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.10/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.15
-50% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 81%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
15.0 Crosses 19.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pisa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.62 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 286
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2024 Pisa Pisa 3-1 HT 2-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
25.09.2024 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTK
08.04.2017 Pisa Pisa 0-1 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
13.11.2016 Cesena Cesena 2-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
09.02.2008 Pisa Pisa 3-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
09.09.2007 Cesena Cesena 1-2 HT 1-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY Pisa
0.76 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
302 Passes 305
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Pisa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Pisa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cesena had 50% of the ball to Pisa's 50%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cesena and 1.33 for Pisa.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Pisa?

Cesena 1-1 Pisa in the Italy - Serie B on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Pisa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cesena 36%, draw 28%, Pisa 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pisa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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