Mantova 0-0 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
23%
6.04
1/2
5%
24.85
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
6%
8.15
X/2
13%
4.44
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.55
2/X
6%
12.85
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.04 — our 23% vs market 12.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
37%
Away Win
48%
-11.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 52%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
2.03/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.76
+0% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
0-0
AWAY Palermo
0.26 xG 0.94
67% Ball Possession 33%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
515 Passes 223
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova and Palermo fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mantova had 67% of the ball to Palermo's 33%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.26 to 0.94.

What was the final score of Mantova vs Palermo?

Mantova 0-0 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mantova 35%, draw 28%, Palermo 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palermo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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