Südtirol 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Oct 2024

Südtirol
1-1 HT 0-0
Frosinone
📅30/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Südtirol vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.23
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.79
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.96
X/2
13%
5.87
X/X
13%
3.25
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
11%
4.81
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
33%
-3.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Südtirol v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.13/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.31
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.0 Crosses 19.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Südtirol vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Frosinone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.33 xG 1.29
31% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 10
188 Passes 538
67% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 34
8 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
04.12.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
12.08.2018 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTK

Südtirol 1-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.07 xG 0.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
393 Passes 251
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Frosinone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Südtirol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Südtirol had 58% of the ball to Frosinone's 42%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Südtirol had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 0.33 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Frosinone?

Südtirol 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 41%, draw 29%, Frosinone 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Südtirol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
30 Oct 2024
22:30 Mantova vs Palermo Analysis →
22:30 Cittadella vs Sampdoria Analysis →
22:30 Pisa vs Catanzaro Analysis →