Çin U23 1-0 Avustralya U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.48
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
42%
Away Win
54%
-11.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çin U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Avustralya U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.40/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.42
-100% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
200 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 79%
8.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
10.0 Crosses 37.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çin U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Avustralya U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.09.2025 Avustralya U23 Avustralya U23 0-0 HT 0-0 Çin U23 Çin U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çin U23
1-0
AWAY Avustralya U23
0.27 xG 1.41
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
196 Passes 410
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çin U23 vs Avustralya U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çin U23 nicked a narrow win over Avustralya U23 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Avustralya U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Çin U23 had 36% of the ball to Avustralya U23's 64%, shots finished 5-13, expected goals 0.27 to 1.41 — on chances, Avustralya U23 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Çin U23 vs Avustralya U23?

Çin U23 1-0 Avustralya U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çin U23 vs Avustralya U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avustralya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Çin U23 28%, draw 30%, Avustralya U23 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avustralya U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avustralya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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