Tayland U23 vs Irak U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tayland U23 v Irak U23 — Team-Based Signals
Tayland U23 vs Irak U23 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Irak U23
AFCU23
Tayland U23 1-1 Irak U23 — Actual Match Statistics
Tayland U23 and Irak U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Irak U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Tayland U23 had 46% of the ball to Irak U23's 54%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.53 to 1.67.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tayland U23 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tayland U23 and 0.50 for Irak U23.
What was the final score of Tayland U23 vs Irak U23?
Tayland U23 1-1 Irak U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tayland U23 vs Irak U23?
Before kick-off our model rated an Irak U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tayland U23 31%, draw 23%, Irak U23 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Irak U23), BTTS No went the other way.