Irak U23 0-2 Tayland U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak U23 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tayland U23 EU Bookmakers 22%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
+38% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
Crosses 12.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tayland U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 2.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
207 Passes 361
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2020 Tayland U23 Tayland U23 1-1 HT 1-0 Irak U23 Irak U23 AFCU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak U23
0-2
AWAY Tayland U23
1.31 xG 0.78
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
365 Passes 269
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Irak U23 vs Tayland U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tayland U23 got the better of Irak U23 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Irak U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Irak U23 had 57% of the ball to Tayland U23's 43%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.31 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Irak U23.

What was the final score of Irak U23 vs Tayland U23?

Irak U23 0-2 Tayland U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak U23 vs Tayland U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Irak U23 46%, draw 27%, Tayland U23 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Irak U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Irak U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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