Japonya U23 1-0 Çin U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.3pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.1pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya U23 EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Çin U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.15/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/1.00
-61% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
14.5 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya U23
1-0
AWAY Çin U23
1.34 xG 0.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
213 Passes 416
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Japonya U23 vs Çin U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya U23 squeezed past Çin U23 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Japonya U23 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Japonya U23 had 38% of the ball to Çin U23's 62%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.34 to 0.75.

What was the final score of Japonya U23 vs Çin U23?

Japonya U23 1-0 Çin U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya U23 vs Çin U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Japonya U23 60%, draw 21%, Çin U23 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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