Güney Kore U23 1-0 BAE U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 16 Apr 2024

📅16/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-8.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Kore U23 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY BAE U23 EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-64% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 82%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Kore U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY BAE U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.03.2023 BAE U23 BAE U23 0-3 Güney Kore U23 Güney Kore U23 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Kore U23
1-0
AWAY BAE U23
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Güney Kore U23 vs BAE U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Kore U23 nicked a narrow win over BAE U23 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Güney Kore U23 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Güney Kore U23 had 70% of the ball to BAE U23's 30%, shots finished 13-4.

What was the final score of Güney Kore U23 vs BAE U23?

Güney Kore U23 1-0 BAE U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Kore U23 vs BAE U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güney Kore U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Güney Kore U23 58%, draw 23%, BAE U23 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güney Kore U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Güney Kore U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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