Suudi Arabistan U23 4-2 Tacikistan U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC U23 Championship, 16 Apr 2024

Suudi Arabistan U23
4-2 HT 2-1
Tacikistan U23
📅16/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
AFC U23 Championship – 2024

Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Tacikistan U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.27
No
66%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.0pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.4pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
40%
-5.7pp
66%
BTTS No
60%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Suudi Arabistan U23 v Tacikistan U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23 EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacikistan U23 EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.15/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.72
+48% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
11.0 Crosses 5.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Tacikistan U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tacikistan U23
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.13 xG 0.19
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
469 Passes 154
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 4
12 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.06.2022 Suudi Arabistan U23 Suudi Arabistan U23 5-0 HT 1-0 Tacikistan U23 Tacikistan U23 AFCU23

Suudi Arabistan U23 4-2 Tacikistan U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suudi Arabistan U23
4-2
AWAY Tacikistan U23
1.49 xG 0.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
440 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Tacikistan U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suudi Arabistan U23 saw off Tacikistan U23 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Suudi Arabistan U23 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Suudi Arabistan U23 had 56% of the ball to Tacikistan U23's 44%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.49 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Tacikistan U23?

Suudi Arabistan U23 4-2 Tacikistan U23 in the AFC U23 Championship on 16/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suudi Arabistan U23 vs Tacikistan U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suudi Arabistan U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Suudi Arabistan U23 58%, draw 25%, Tacikistan U23 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suudi Arabistan U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suudi Arabistan U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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