Telstar 2-3 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 11 Jan 2026

Telstar
2 - 3 HT 0 - 2
Ajax
📅11/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Telstar vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.18
Over Pick
61%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.57
No
40%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.25
2-3
45%
1.88
4-5
28%
2.92
6+
8%
8.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.68
1/2 ✗
4%
21.6
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
8%
8.14
X/2
18%
4.78
X/X
14%
5.65
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
31%
2.5
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.6 — our 4% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Telstar v Ajax — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Telstar The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax The Market 54%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.28 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.10
2.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
Great Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Bad
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 82%
19 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2

Telstar vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Ajax
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.69 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
267 Passes 499
80% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.08.2025 Ajax Ajax 2-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL
19.12.2024 Ajax Ajax 2-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOK
18.12.2019 Telstar Telstar 3-4 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOK

Telstar 2-3 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
2 - 3
AWAY Ajax
0.77 xG 1.74
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 3
250 Passes 566
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Telstar vs Ajax
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ajax edged past Telstar 3-2 on their travels. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Telstar had 35% of the ball to Ajax's 65%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.77 to 1.74.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Telstar and 2.67 for Ajax.

Telstar vs Ajax Result & Final Score

Telstar 2 - 3 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Telstar vs Ajax Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Telstar 23%, draw 24%, Ajax 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL More Netherlands - Eredivisie
11 Jan 2026
14:15 Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Analysis →
16:30 Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard Analysis →
18:45 Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles Analysis →